This issue of the Long-Haul Travel Barometer reveals that the travel sentiment in China and the US is positive at the beginning of 2019, dispelling concerns about the potential impact of the trade dispute between the two countries and the projected global economic slowdown. Results suggest that Europe may enjoy some growth in tourist arrivals from these markets between January-April. The positive index value in China mirrors the improved air connectivity and the celebration of the Spring Festival (4-10 February), while in the US the travel confidence correlates with the strength of the dollar and the economic growth which, although at a slower pace, is expected to continue boosting consumer spending in 2019.
By contrast, the index trajectory turns negative in Japan, Brazil and Russia possibly due to lack of time for overseas trips and unfavourable exchange rates in overseas destinations.
The Long-Haul Travel Barometer monitors travel sentiment in the most relevant outbound travel markets for Europe: Brazil, China, Japan, Russia and the United States of America (US). The tool jointly launched by the European Travel Commission, the European Tourism Association and Eurail Group supplements existing tourism statistics with information that looks ahead into the future and helps destinations and industry stakeholders to better understand the development of the travel demand from these markets.